Automotive Industry in Transition: Innovations Driving the Future of Mobility

The global data centre market continues to grow unabated. A significant proportion of this growth comes from ‘hyperscale data centres’, which are being built by large technology groups such as Microsoft, Google and Amazon. The increasing use of artificial intelligence and machine learning is significantly changing the requirements for data centres. These technologies require more computing power and higher rack densities, which necessitates new designs and increases location requirements. In addition, the demand for “colocation”, i.e. capacity close to users, is increasing to ensure faster loading times.

Sustainability and Energy Efficiency

The sustainability and energy consumption of data centres is an increasingly important aspect, as energy costs and environmental impact are rising steeply. There is a need to improve energy efficiency, and there are several approaches to this:

• Cooling is the most important consumption factor. Free cooling or liquid cooling are common efficiency measures.
• Eliminating losses from sub-optimal power distribution significantly reduces energy consumption.
• Energy for the infrastructure increases energy consumption – building automation helps to reduce this consumption.
• Many data centre operators rely on renewable energies to reduce their carbon footprint.

In order to build “green data centres” in the future, a holistic approach is required. This enables optimised energy efficiency and therefore both economic and ecological benefits.

Data Centers in the Carnot Capital Portfolio

Schneider Electric has developed a platform that enables the analysis, monitoring and automation of data centres. Data centres are an important part of the core business, accounting for almost 20% of sales. At ABB and Hubbell, this share is around 10% and also makes a substantial contribution to sales growth. Instalco, a Scandinavian installation company, and Energiekontor, which develops wind and solar projects for the operation of data centres, are also benefiting. Finally, Carel, a new portfolio item, develops advanced cooling systems tailored to the requirements of data centres.

Reorganisation in the Automotive Industry:

VW reported record results in 2022 and 2023, but barely a year later the mood is one of crisis – there is talk of plant closures and redundancies. The other European manufacturers are not faring much better and are also facing capacity adjustments and restructuring. This has a lot to do with the planned switch to electromobility, which has stalled in 2024. Global EV sales rose by 22% in H1 2024, but the market in Europe is stagnating. Fiat, for example, had to reduce production of the 500e by 60% (DW.com).

A Competitive Edge

The blame for the crisis is universally attributed to poor policy: Too little support, too much support, pending ban on combustion engines, purchase premiums, CO2 limits, import tariffs, Chinese subsidies, etc. In our eyes, this perception is not wrong.

However, we believe that the main cause of the crisis is the eroding competitiveness of European car manufacturers, regardless of the type of drive. Asian competitors have become technologically equal, if you believe the (European!) test reports. In terms of production efficiency, they have an advantage anyway: at VW, employees generally work (only) 35 hours a week, but enjoy 6 weeks’ holiday and are sick for more than 5 weeks on average. So it’s easy to understand why, for example, VW employees work more than 5 weeks a week.

Unattractive OEMs, Waiting for Entry Opportunities

The transport sector is responsible for around a third of global energy consumption and is therefore an important fund theme. Nevertheless, we have kept our exposure to the automotive sector below the target level for years (currently approx. 12%). Automobile manufacturers (OEMs) and suppliers such as Continental are unattractive due to their high capital intensity. We are looking for opportunities primarily in the electrification of road and commercial vehicles (Lem, Infineon, Melexis, X-Fab, Sandvik). The electric drive plays an important role here, and new safety and comfort components are also increasing the demand for silicon. However, we are still holding off on acquisitions.

Rolf Helbling / Andres Gujan, 5. November 2024