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03/2025

Automotive Industry in Transition: Innovations Driving the Future of Mobility

Innvations in the Automotive Industry

The automotive industry is currently undergoing major developments in numerous areas:

  • ‘Connected Cars’: The vehicle as a digital platform
  • Autonomous Driving: First robotaxis, then personal vehicles
  • Electromobility: On the rise, especially in China
  • Alternative Fuels: A complement to e-mobility

Mobility is fundamentally shifting toward connected and autonomous vehicles. These changes are not only revolutionizing transportation but also influencing urban design, the working environment, and quality of life.

Digitalization and Sensor Technology as Key Success Factors

At the core of innovation lies the combination of sensor technology and computing power (including AI). Data-driven services and connected mobility are becoming the norm. Technology providers that successfully integrate sensors and digital technologies hold a particularly strong market position.

Electromobility and, above all, the increasing autonomy of vehicles free up space for passengers to pursue various activities—entertainment, work, comfort, relaxation… This, in turn, drives additional demand for sensors and chips. Expected growth rates by 2030 vary by application, reaching over 22% in some cases.

Implications for Carnot Capital

Despite these developments and attractive valuations, we are maintaining a relatively low allocation in automotive suppliers. Our semiconductor and sensor technology positions in Melexis, LEM, Infineon, and Xfab account for around 10% of our portfolio. In addition, Ems-Chemie contributes as a manufacturer of high-performance polymers that make vehicles lighter and safer. With Sandvik, we also participate in the electrification of mining: electric loaders and transporters reduce the carbon footprint of metals while increasing productivity.

We will increase our automotive allocation once we gain confidence in rising car sales and see renewed momentum in electromobility, particularly in Western markets.

Rolf Helbling / Andres Gujan, February 5, 2025

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High Growth in Data Centers

High Growth in Data Centers

The global data centre market continues to grow unabated. A significant proportion of this growth comes from ‘hyperscale data centres’, which are being built by large technology groups such as Microsoft, Google and Amazon. The increasing use of artificial intelligence and machine learning is significantly changing the requirements for data centres. These technologies require more computing power and higher rack densities, which necessitates new designs and increases location requirements. In addition, the demand for “colocation”, i.e. capacity close to users, is increasing to ensure faster loading times.

Sustainability and Energy Efficiency

The sustainability and energy consumption of data centres is an increasingly important aspect, as energy costs and environmental impact are rising steeply. There is a need to improve energy efficiency, and there are several approaches to this:

Cooling is the most important consumption factor. Free cooling or liquid cooling are common efficiency measures.
Eliminating losses from sub-optimal power distribution significantly reduces energy consumption.
Energy for the infrastructure increases energy consumption – building automation helps to reduce this consumption.
Many data centre operators rely on renewable energies to reduce their carbon footprint.

In order to build “green data centres” in the future, a holistic approach is required. This enables optimised energy efficiency and therefore both economic and ecological benefits.

Data Centers in the Carnot Capital Portfolio

Schneider Electric has developed a platform that enables the analysis, monitoring and automation of data centres. Data centres are an important part of the core business, accounting for almost 20% of sales. At ABB and Hubbell, this share is around 10% and also makes a substantial contribution to sales growth. Instalco, a Scandinavian installation company, and Energiekontor, which develops wind and solar projects for the operation of data centres, are also benefiting. Finally, Carel, a new portfolio item, develops advanced cooling systems tailored to the requirements of data centres.

The Ocean as a Source of Electricity Storage?

The Ocean as a Source of Electricity Storage?

Lithium is currently the most commonly used metal for batteries because it enables a relatively high energy density. However, sodium batteries are increasingly becoming an attractive alternative: Sodium is available in unlimited quantities as a salt of the oceans (sodium chloride NaCl) and can be extracted without causing environmental damage. Sodium batteries are also characterised by a high level of safety, as they are less flammable. However, sodium batteries also have disadvantages due to their lower energy density. They are more suitable for stationary applications.

Resourceful Researchers in a Race

Market forecasts from Bloomberg and McKinsey predict that the battery market will grow several hundred billion times over. The brightest minds are working with huge R&D budgets to eliminate the disadvantages of sodium batteries – low voltage and corrosion of the cathode (service life). In fact, great successes have now been reported. The first cars with sodium batteries are already on the road in China. The industry leader BYD is investing more than USD 1 billion in a large production plant. The other industry leader, CATL, wants to reduce the cost per kilowatt hour to $57 with a new generation of sodium batteries. A car battery would then cost less than $5,000. Research is going in various directions, and experiments are also being carried out with other inexpensive metals (magnesium, aluminium, zinc). There are great expectations for solid-state batteries, for example, which boast greater energy density and improved safety. The first factories are already under construction and should be supplying safe, high-performance batteries as early as next year.

Significance for Carnot

Battery prices have been falling slightly for years. However, with the emergence of new materials and technologies, a significant price reduction is now imminent. Due to the high capital intensity and major technology risks, battery production remains unattractive for us as investors. Nevertheless, the significant reduction in battery prices is relevant for us, as it makes the combination of renewable energy and storage cheaper. This triggers further investments in the conversion of the energy supply, where our portfolio companies are involved – from engineering, technology and installation through to system control and optimisation (AFRY, Concentric, ABB, etc.).

Did You Know?

700,000 tonnes of cheese are stored in American caverns. That is more than three times Switzerland’s annual production.