Carnot Talks

Lithium is currently the most commonly used metal for batteries because it enables a relatively high energy density. However, sodium batteries are increasingly becoming an attractive alternative: Sodium is available in unlimited quantities as a salt of the oceans (sodium chloride NaCl) and can be extracted without causing environmental damage. Sodium batteries are also characterised by a high level of safety, as they are less flammable. However, sodium batteries also have disadvantages due to their lower energy density. They are more suitable for stationary applications.

Resourceful Researchers in a Race

Market forecasts from Bloomberg and McKinsey predict that the battery market will grow several hundred billion times over. The brightest minds are working with huge R&D budgets to eliminate the disadvantages of sodium batteries – low voltage and corrosion of the cathode (service life). In fact, great successes have now been reported. The first cars with sodium batteries are already on the road in China. The industry leader BYD is investing more than USD 1 billion in a large production plant. The other industry leader, CATL, wants to reduce the cost per kilowatt hour to $57 with a new generation of sodium batteries. A car battery would then cost less than $5,000. Research is going in various directions, and experiments are also being carried out with other inexpensive metals (magnesium, aluminium, zinc). There are great expectations for solid-state batteries, for example, which boast greater energy density and improved safety. The first factories are already under construction and should be supplying safe, high-performance batteries as early as next year.

Significance for Carnot

Battery prices have been falling slightly for years. However, with the emergence of new materials and technologies, a significant price reduction is now imminent. Due to the high capital intensity and major technology risks, battery production remains unattractive for us as investors. Nevertheless, the significant reduction in battery prices is relevant for us, as it makes the combination of renewable energy and storage cheaper. This triggers further investments in the conversion of the energy supply, where our portfolio companies are involved – from engineering, technology and installation through to system control and optimisation (AFRY, Concentric, ABB, etc.).

Did You Know?

700,000 tonnes of cheese are stored in American caverns. That is more than three times Switzerland’s annual production.

Impact investing, i.e. sustainable and responsible investing, is a need for more and more investors. Rolf Helbling explains the five most important reasons why impact investing is extremely important and financially very worthwhile:

1. Double Bottom Line:

Impact investing aims to achieve positive social and environmental effects in addition to financial returns. Investments support projects or companies in areas such as energy saving, renewable energies, resource efficiency or healthcare.

2. Long-Term Financial Returns:

“Companies that pursue sustainable and responsible practices are often better positioned for long-term success. The investment focus on companies that essentially promote a more efficient use of resources forms the basis for an attractive return. Studies show that impact investments offer competitive financial returns by capitalising on long-term opportunities and mitigating risks arising from unsustainable business practices.

3. Risk Minimisation:

By integrating environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors into investment decisions, potential risks can be better identified and minimised. Companies that operate sustainably are often less susceptible to regulatory changes and scandals.

4. Fulfilment of Personal Values:

Many investors want to invest their capital in line with their personal values. Impact investing enables investors to make a positive contribution to society and the environment with their capital and at the same time fulfil their own ethical expectations.

5. Market and Innovation Potential:

Impact plants support innovative companies and technologies that develop solutions for today’s biggest challenges. This can lead to the creation of new markets and business opportunities that drive long-term growth and positive change in the area of energy and resource efficiency.

“Impact investing gives investors the opportunity to play an important role in tackling global challenges while generating attractive financial returns.”

Rolf Helbling, Founder Carnot Capital & Portfolio Manager

This was the title of a discussion programme on SRF television. The answer depends very much on your point of view. The expansion of nuclear power slowed down after the Chernobyl disaster (1986) and practically came to a standstill after Fukushima (2011), with Asia (China, India) being the exception. Since Europe has renounced Russian gas and wants to take the reduction of CO2 emissions seriously, nuclear energy is enjoying more support in Europe again.

The biggest advocates of nuclear power come from the IT industry: for Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, nuclear power is virtually the natural energy source for operating the power-hungry data centres and Microsoft has already concluded a long-term supply contract with the damaged Three Mile Island nuclear power plant.

Some Key Aspects

In addition to high reliability and climate neutrality, nuclear power’s apologists cite the greater safety and lower radioactive waste of the new reactor designs. In addition, nuclear power plants reduce dependence on problematic exporters of fossil fuels. Essentially, however, proponents and opponents have been putting forward the same arguments for decades. Public opinion remains divided and varies from country to country.

The technology is indeed developing. However, the first SMRs – Small Modular Reactors – are unlikely to go into operation before 2030. The economic viability of new construction projects remains a major challenge, as the new plants in the UK and Finland have shown. While state support for solar and wind projects is declining, this is not (yet?) the case for new nuclear power plants.

Significance for Carnot Capital

The future of nuclear technology remains vague due to high costs and safety concerns, which is why we are not directly involved. In addition, sustainability is controversial. Over the last 20 years, the production of nuclear power has remained more or less stable globally. Due to the high growth in renewable and fossil electricity production, the proportion has halved to around 10%. In terms of value, investments in renewable energies are currently around ten times higher. We are therefore looking for investment opportunities in the management of electricity grids, where requirements have risen sharply. Schneider Electric, ABB and BKW fall into this category.

Did You Know?

The first British coal-fired power station was started up by Thomas Edison in 1882, and the last one went out of operation at the end of September.

The global data centre market continues to grow unabated. A significant proportion of this growth comes from ‘hyperscale data centres’, which are being built by large technology groups such as Microsoft, Google and Amazon. The increasing use of artificial intelligence and machine learning is significantly changing the requirements for data centres. These technologies require more computing power and higher rack densities, which necessitates new designs and increases location requirements. In addition, the demand for “colocation”, i.e. capacity close to users, is increasing to ensure faster loading times.

Sustainability and Energy Efficiency

The sustainability and energy consumption of data centres is an increasingly important aspect, as energy costs and environmental impact are rising steeply. There is a need to improve energy efficiency, and there are several approaches to this:

• Cooling is the most important consumption factor. Free cooling or liquid cooling are common efficiency measures.
• Eliminating losses from sub-optimal power distribution significantly reduces energy consumption.
• Energy for the infrastructure increases energy consumption – building automation helps to reduce this consumption.
• Many data centre operators rely on renewable energies to reduce their carbon footprint.

In order to build “green data centres” in the future, a holistic approach is required. This enables optimised energy efficiency and therefore both economic and ecological benefits.

Data Centers in the Carnot Capital Portfolio

Schneider Electric has developed a platform that enables the analysis, monitoring and automation of data centres. Data centres are an important part of the core business, accounting for almost 20% of sales. At ABB and Hubbell, this share is around 10% and also makes a substantial contribution to sales growth. Instalco, a Scandinavian installation company, and Energiekontor, which develops wind and solar projects for the operation of data centres, are also benefiting. Finally, Carel, a new portfolio item, develops advanced cooling systems tailored to the requirements of data centres.